Rising global geopolitical uncertainties are affecting India’s agricultural export landscape, disrupting trade flows, and posing new challenges for key commodities. This study will focus on eight major agri-exports: rice, sugar, buffalo meat, raw cotton, and fresh fruits (grapes and mangoes) and vegetables (potato and onion), which together accounted for nearly 43% of India’s total agricultural exports in 2024. While geopolitical shifts continue to influence agricultural exports, strengthening the supply chain – from the post-harvest stage to acceptance in foreign markets – can reduce the vulnerability of exports to external shocks, making India’s agricultural export ecosystem more resilient.
Against this backdrop, the objective of the study is to assess recent geopolitical disruptions and their commodity-specific impact on the exports of the eight agri-commodities. It will identify bottlenecks within their export supply chains and closely track evolving changes in tariff and non-tariff measures, as well as domestic policy interventions, analysing their disruptive and opportunistic effects on exports. An integrated strategy will be developed to enhance diversification and export readiness, quality compliance, and market access of these key agricultural commodities by addressing the persisting infrastructural, informational, and institutional gaps, which can meaningfully contribute to the review of the Agriculture Export Policy (AEP) 2018.
